CBCS GRADED: FINCH VARIANT WW#38,1/100809
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by Oxbladder I know that, and I don't even work in science. Quote: Originally Posted by OB Yet, as Swampy explained above, these books aren't rationed, in the traditional sense of something being rationed. Quote: Originally Posted by OB Except, as I pointed out above, the early examples were a sort of "rewards" program, not an ordering program. That is, retailers weren't given the option to order 500 copies of X-Men #1 (1991), and for that, they would get a gold hologram X-Men card (and it's doubtful any of them would.) They just ordered 500 copies (or whatever amount), and Marvel gave them a gift. While similar to the current retailer incentive program, it wasn't designed the same, to GET retailers to up their orders. And, lower ratios don't necessarily incentivize retailers to order more. It depends on the title, the variant, and other factors. Many retailers say "I have to order HOW many copies of Vader Down to get that Chip variant...?" Quote: Originally Posted by OB No, it's not. You'll have to provide the specific examples that I asked about before, so it can be examined. IF...and this is a very big IF...the dealer ordering forms mentioned "retailer: if you order X amount of this book, you may order 1 copy of this variant of it" then yes, that would be a retailer incentive. But, again, such a program couldn't even exist prior to the consolidation of distribution under Diamond in the mid-90's, and there's nothing contemporaneous in industry literature that describes such a program that I have seen until the mid-00's. If it exists, by all means, post it. I'd love the opportunity to learn something I didn't know. Quote: Originally Posted by OB Yes, you said that before, but you still have not explained why you believe this. By all means, please do. And, correction: no one said they print a "random" number of copies, if you're using "random" to mean Marvel circulation telling the printer "just print however many copies you feel like printing." Obviously that's not the case. Marvel, DC, et al, choose precise numbers and submit orders for those precise numbers. Yes, there's an amount for spoilage figured in, but even that number isn't random. However...if, by "random", you mean "printing more than they need for the incentive program"...you would be incorrect. Marvel, DC, et al, have repeatedly demonstrated that this is the case, even if they don't officially acknowledge it. At the Diamond lunch at SDCC last week, they handed out 500 copies of the DC Rebirth 1:100 Sketch Variant and 500 copies of Harley Quinn/Suicide Squad April Fool's Special 1:50 Variant. Where did those copies come from...? DC had them printed, in excess of that required for the incentive program. Other than trying to prop up the market for these "rare" variants, I really don't understand why this is so controversial to folks. Pride...? :shrug: Quote: Originally Posted by OB DC and Marvel joined the Direct market in the mid-70's. I'm not sure how that relates to the retailer incentive program of the 00's? There's a significant difference between printing what's ordered of a regular book in the tens and hundreds of thousands, and printing a 2-3-4k print run of an incentive variant, for advertising purposes. And...ALL publishers in the early to mid 90's were wildly overprinting everything, beyond what was being ordered. That's why there are still cases of Turok #1 and Adventures of Superman #500 floating around. Quote: Originally Posted by OB When? With whom? Do you have specific examples? Quote: Originally Posted by OB Ok. Which ones? Quote: Originally Posted by OB Ok, great! Then coming up with examples shouldn't be too hard. I look forward to seeing them! Thanks for the conversation! |
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Post 51 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by dpiercy Sure, 400 is plausible. So is 4,000. Before you guffaw, remember: DC doesn't release this information publicly. They could easily have several cases stored to hand out as they see fit, as they do at Diamond retailer lunches, for example. The point isn't that "oh, no, it's definitely NOT 400!"...it very well COULD be...the point is, no one but the publishers and printers know, and they're not telling. So, ANY speculation is just that: speculation. It's ok to make estimates, but making estimates based on flawed understanding renders those estimates fairly useless. And, the census shouldn't be used to demonstrate how "rare" something may be. There are many books that aren't on the census. CGC has only graded 3 million or so books. That's less than the print run of a single comic, Superman #75 (or Adventures of Superman #1, or X-Men #1, etc.) 99.925% of all comics ever published haven't been slabbed, and so aren't represented on the census. The census only gives us a broad idea about what is out there. WW #38 came out last year. The fact that there are already 86 copies on the census should tell you that there are almost certainly more than 400 copies in existence, and certainly not 250-300 as theorized earlier. Consider: ASM #667 Dell'Otto only has 24 copies total on the census, and that book is 5+ years old. While that doesn't confirm anything, it does point us in the direction that ASM #667 D'O is in lower supply than the WW #38 Finch. |
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Post 52 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
SOOOOO, I STARTED THIS AND WILL MAKE AN EFFORT TO FINISH IT. OFFICIALLY I CANNOT POSSIBLY TELL YOU HOW MANY WERE PRINTED. THE PEOPLE THAT ARE SAYING I DO NOT KNOW FOR SURE ARE CORRECT. BUT I AM GOING BY GENERALLY ACCEPTED DATA. THAT BEING SAID, YOU DISSENTERS ALSO CANNOT OFFICIALLY STATE WITH FACTS HOW MANY WERE PRINTED. SO HERE WE ARE. GIVE ME AN OFFICIALLY RELEASED NUMBER FROM DIRECT COMMUNICATIONS, AND I'LL STATE IT LOUD AND CLEAR. | ||
Post 53 IP flag post |
Collector | Swampy private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan I thought you were going to give us the officially released numbers from DC when you said "DC themselves said the Finch cover would be available in the manner and numbers discussed as I've said." That's one of the reasons this thread is still going. If you don't have the info you said you did, then there's not much left to discuss. Unless DarthLego ever comes back, lol! |
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Post 54 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
@DocBrown, with respect you continue to split hairs and demand facts from those whom disagree with you. Now it's our turn. Cite any shop, any collector, any store owner or any insider you know. Get a current high level Marvel or DC official to publicly back up your position and this discussion is over. Until that occurs, neither position can be proven. | ||
Post 55 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
Splitting more hairs huh? I was wrong. I should have said according to the LCS's I'm my area, DC had publicized that the Finch cover would be released 1 for every 100 regular covers. MY mistake. So, now YOU give us Marvel or DC's official statement to back up what you say are facts from Diamond. | ||
Post 56 IP flag post |
Collector | Swampy private msg quote post Address this user | |
Here's a free tip for you variant lovers: "Awax brought up Five Below earlier. I purchased a lot of $4 packs of 4 comics many of which were 1:50, 1:100 variants." I wonder where those came from... |
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Post 57 IP flag post |
Collector | MR_SigS private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan Except I don't think they ever claimed they could. That's the point. In a nutshell, Doc and Swampy are just trying to set the record straight FOR THE SAKE OF ACCURACY, and correct the language being used in this thread. Lots of money is pumped into this hobby, and having the absolute most accurate info can save people from the headaches, heartaches, and all around butthurt from purchasing something based on "what they heard" only to find out later that info was inaccurate. How can there be anything wrong with that? A great, but unrelated, example is DarthLego's recent thread saying he's seeing older Overstreet grading guides being "SOLD" for crazy prices. Turns out this was inaccurate. Now imagine if someone very new saw his first post and went to Amazon and dropped hundreds on a 2nd edition, only to realize there is a HUGE difference between asking prices, and sold prices. To be honest, for years whenever I read Doc's posts (the one's like in this thread, anyway) I almost feel like I should be paying him a fee for the info LOL. Almost. |
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Post 58 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan Correct. Quote: Originally Posted by SAF The questions are: what does "generally accepted" mean, why is said data "generally accepted", who says it, and what information are they relying on to come up with that data? If it's just a guess, it ought to be presented as just a guess. Nothing wrong with guesses. It's when we get into the unqualified "this book had thus and such a print run" that we run into problems. Quote: Originally Posted by SAF Correct, though I wouldn't classify anyone as a "dissenter", necessarily. More of a "questioner", a seeker for the facts. Quote: Originally Posted by SAF As said, there isn't any. The important thing, then, is to make sure that numbers aren't just made up. What all the websites that make these claims should be doing is 1. not making up numbers based on misinformation (that is, that the distribution ratio has anything to do with the print run when it does not), and 2. stating that no one really knows what the print runs are, so all estimations are equally valid AND invalid. That would be great. Unfortunately, that information is not released by Marvel, DC, and a few others. |
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COLLECTOR | DarthLego private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by DarthLego My post was worded as a question, and it was a fair question. And it led to me and others learning valuable information that the books are still sold at cover price by the publisher. If anyone ran out and dropped hundreds of dollars on one based on that paragraph then they have much more serious problems than just misunderstanding my use of the word sold. And based on the context of my paragraph it's highly unlikely anyone mistook what I was saying. All that being said, it has no bearing on the topic being discussed, a discussion I have already stepped out of because I don't have any information to add to either side, I'm just watching and learning what I can from the information provided. Now please don't address me or quote me anymore in this thread. |
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Post 60 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan What hairs are being split, and how? And yes, I am asking for (not "demanding" facts. So should you. So should everyone to people who make claims. Isn't that the point? Isn't getting to the truth of the matter really what's important? Quote: Originally Posted by SAF Who is "our"? I was under the impression that each user name is a unique individual, and capable of speaking for him or herself. But you haven't answered any of my questions, so how can it possibly be your turn to ask...? Quote: Originally Posted by SAF What position? I've already told you, quite clearly, that this is information that is not publicly available. Nobody but the people at DC, Marvel, et al, who decide these things, and the printer, know for sure how many of each specific variant is printed. That's the point. I don't know how many WW #38 1:100s were printed. Neither do you. Neither does anyone who wasn't involved in its production. I suspect Dave Finch doesn't even know. So, we can't make statements about what IS. However. We CAN make statements about what is NOT. And, what we can rule out is the following: 1. The incentive ratio is a distribution ratio. That is, for every X amount of copies a retailer orders of the regular issue, they will get/can purchase 1 copy of the incentive. If the incentive is 1:100, then for every 100 regular copies, they can obtain 1 of the incentive. Trying to apply that ratio to anything else is a mistake, because the publishers don't make any other claims about it. They are silent. All they say is "you order this many copies of the regular, you get a copy of the incentive." That's all those numbers mean officially. 2. The publishers, through Diamond, regularly sell incentive variants to account holders, in numbers far beyond the theoretical "case rounding" scenario. IF the incentive variants were printed to order, or printed plus 5%, or printed to "the nearest case"...this would NOT be possible. 3. The publishers, usually through Diamond, give away incentive variants on a regular basis at their various seminars, again, in numbers far beyond the "spoilage/case rounding" parameters. So, though we don't know the quantities publishers print, we DO know that, in many if not all cases, they print much more than is needed to fulfill orders at the time of initial publication. 4. In less than two years, the number of a book, which people have theorized is limited anywhere between 250-300 to 400 copies, 86 grading events (not necessarily unique copies) have occurred at CGC. That would mean, if they only printed 250-400, that about 20-35% of the entire print run has made its way through CGC....which, of course, isn't likely at all, based on the numbers of books with KNOWN print runs (or, at least, "official" print runs.) Take Ultimate Spiderman #1 DF, for example. We "know" that they made at least 7,500 copies...but there are only 878 accounted for on the census (assuming there are ZERO resubs, and we know that can't be true!) That means, for a book that has been around almost as long as CGC, only as much as 12% of the entire print run has gone through CGC...and that book has certainly been worth slabbing for much of its existence. (By the way...this is where sites like "Recalled Comics" gets things wrong. The "print run" of USM #1 DF is NOT "5,000." They either don't know about, or have forgotten, that there are an ADDITIONAL 2,500 copies that were signed, and need to be added to that total, to come up with 7,500. Not an insignificant amount!) And there are many examples like that. No, for WW #38 to have 86 slab events speaks of a number substantially higher than 400 copies...maybe 1,000+. |
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Post 61 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by MR_SigS I'll be expecting my beer at either Boston or Baltimore. |
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Post 62 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan What hairs are being split? Can you say? If not, I get the feeling that you're becoming annoyed. I would suggest, though you're certainly free to ignore my advice, that responding in annoyance and frustration isn't productive, and you might want to take a break from the conversation. |
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Post 63 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by DarthLego That's not a very reasonable request. If you don't want someone to address you or quote you, you ought not post at all. No one should be made to feel like they can't address what you say in a polite, dispassionate manner, regardless of what you're saying. It's really very straightforward: if you post, expect that others will respond. |
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Post 64 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
Splitting hairs: to argue about an inconsequential and trivial aspect of an issue. Such as asking where did this definition come from. When I stated "generally accepted", I was questioned about it. That's splitting hairs. We're I to take a survey on the forum, which I'm not, I believe the majority of members would agree that in regards to the numbers of the Finch WW 38, they would generally (I know, what's generally mean?) agree that based on what information is available, the numbers I have said are as accurate as possible. To address your thoughts concerning me becoming frustrated and annoyed. That is incorrect. That first occurred last night upon reading your post questioning my numbers. I was beyond frustrated and annoyed. I was completely pissed off. You can paraphrase, say you were just after the truth, state you just wanted to know where I got my information from, question my numbers or word it any way you like. What you did either intentionally or unintentionally is QUSETION MY HONESTY and INTEGRITY. However, because of a number of PM's I've received in support and my respect for @MR_SigS, I'll believe that you are simply a devils advocate type of person and continue to believe in the inherent good in people. |
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Post 65 IP flag post |
Collector | MR_SigS private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by DarthLego *sigh* Look above. There are two sentences in your quote. One is a question. I referred to the one that isn't. Quote: Originally Posted by DarthLego Exactly right. Accurate info is good. Inaccurate info is bad. Quote: Originally Posted by DarthLego True enough. Reader beware. I, for one, care that fellow collectors aren't confused by the info they find here, so I'd have a hard time dismissing my incorrect use of a word like that. Quote: Originally Posted by DarthLego You stated you have SEEN that these guides HAVE SOLD for crazy prices, and wondered if people new why. I have seen the same statement applied to actual situations where this was indeed a fact. So yes, it is possible for someone who really doesn't know better (yet) to mistake your words. But who cares, right? That would be their problem. It's an extreme example of how misinformation can cause problems. It's an oversimplified illustration of the point you clearly missed. Quote: Originally Posted by DarthLego You once suggested I learn to read better... Quote: Originally Posted by MR_SigS ... so demonstrate how. Quote: Originally Posted by DarthLego Believe it or not Darth, it wasn't a trolling attack. I just couldn't find a better or more recent example of the use of misinformation. I also would hope no one is so green that they would make such a mistake, but I'm sure similar events have happened based on inaccurate data not followed up by research. If this were an attack, I would have said something like, Quote: Originally Posted by MR_SigS But I didn't. I said, "It turns out this was inaccurate". And it was. It's not my fault you're the one who said it. I would have used this example if my best friend said it, so this wasn't trolling. |
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Post 66 IP flag post |
Collector | MR_SigS private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan I like you SAF, I really do, but honestly, not once did I ever get the vibe that Doc did this in either way. He questioned the validity of your information and requested that examples be shown to support them. Quote: Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan Now there's an interesting theological conundrum; those who are after the truth at the heart of the matter are on the "devil's" side. |
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Post 67 IP flag post |
COLLECTOR | DarthLego private msg quote post Address this user | |
It's just that the phrase "something is being sold" has commonly been used in the English language when someone is discussing something someone is selling. If I had said "people are asking high prices..." it certainly would have been more concise to my question. I just feel that human beings on this forum are smart enough to judge from the context of a conversation the correct meaning I was intending. Do we really need to be picking apart common English phrases just to ensure they worded in a 100% accurate way that no misinterpretation will ever happen? | ||
Post 68 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
@MR_SigS, I like you too Sig! My belief concerning @DocBrown stems from this. It's very apparent and obvious that he is highly intelligent, extremely well read and extraordinarily capable of transferring what he's thinking into the written word. As you alluded to earlier to Darth, we must always be careful and choose wisely our words new collectors, people new to the forum/community could have seen my post selling the books and my honest belief in the numbers, then read the things he had to say. At that point, because of his statements, people could have thought I was a liar, a cheat, a huckster and a host of other unpleasant things. With his demonstrated intelligence, to me, there's no way not to have considered that there very likely could be people out there whom would have taken a negative view of me based on his statements. |
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Post 69 IP flag post |
Collector | Swampy private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan You're reading into it way too much, that's not what he said or implied at all. |
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Post 70 IP flag post |
Collector | Swampy private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by DarthLego Mean what you say, say what you mean. |
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Post 71 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan I know what splitting hairs means; I was asking you for specific examples of it. I see no "splitting hairs" of any kind; everything about this topic has been material and pertinent thus far. Quote: Originally Posted by SAF In what way do you believe that asking you to clarify what you mean, so that I and others understand where you're coming from, is "splitting hairs"? Here is an actual example of "splitting hairs": "I think the Finch variant had 277 copies printed." "I disagree, I think there were 283." Asking you to explain where you're coming from, when using a generic, vague descriptor like "generally accepted", which has no real meaning, isn't "splitting hairs." It's simply asking you to not be vague and to get specific. Precisely who is the "generally accepted" referring to, and how do you come up with that? Where is this "general acceptance" documented? Because if you can't or won't answer that, of what value is the claim? If you can't answer the question, fine, say so...there's no shame in that. But don't then claim someone is "splitting hairs" because they ask you to be specific. Quote: Originally Posted by SAF I believe you are mistaken. Here's why: 1. I doubt that the majority of members of this forum are even aware that such a book exists. 2. I doubt that, of those that do know it exists, even a "majority" would "generally accept" the 400 number, IF they understood the factors involved. I suspect that, once people understand the issue, what would be "generally accepted" is "I don't really have any idea", because THAT would be the most accurate response. 3. Even if the 400 number was "generally accepted" here on the forum...and it's doubtful, based on 1 and 2 above...how can that be extrapolated to the wider collecting community? Quote: Originally Posted by SAF I'm glad to see that you are willing to confirm what I believed was the case. But I do have to ask...why, if you were "completely pissed off", did you address me "with respect"...? We ought not take personally, and respond emotionally, to things which are not personal. This is just a discussion; anyone becoming angry at what has been said doesn't have very good control of their emotions. However...lest you misunderstand, no one has questioned your honesty and integrity, intentionally OR unintentionally. I questioned your claim. Questioning a claim is not, under normal circumstances such as this, questioning your honesty and integrity. I did not say, for example, that you were misusing the number for financial gain. I simply asked a question: how do you know there are less than 400 of these in existence, taken straight from your OP: "There are less than 400 of these in existence!" (exclamation point and all.) What you should be concerned with...indeed, what we all should be concerned with...is the truth, whatever it may be. You repeated the "less than 400" number. As you, yourself, have admitted, there's really no way of knowing if that number is accurate. Yet...and here's the rub...you included it in your sales language. So, if you admit that you don't really KNOW what the number is...and, neither do I, and neither does anyone not involved in its production...wouldn't it be the honest thing to do to just say that upfront...? If you're unwilling to do so...isn't the one questioning your honesty and integrity really...yourself? Something to think about. Quote: Originally Posted by SAF There is no "inherent good" in anyone. My question for you is "in support of what?" Are they supporting your position that there are "only 400 of these in existence!"...? How could they, in light of the resultant discussion, whereby you yourself admit that you don't know? And if so, why aren't they giving you that support publicly? Don't you automatically question the motives of those who conduct themselves behind closed doors, who aren't willing to take a direct stand themselves...? I certainly do. And if it's personal support, why do you feel you need it? You haven't been attacked or harassed in any way. Your claim was challenged, sure, but why is that a problem? We should all be thrilled to have things challenged that we believe that are inaccurate. Why would anyone want to believe that which isn't true...? Are you after the truth? Or are you after supporting your opinion to make a sale? Those are the only questions that matter, and they are questions only the individual can answer for him/herself. I make no judgment either way. |
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Post 72 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by MR_SigS Excellent post. We ought to, as grown men and women, be able to handle a challenge and criticism without letting our feelings get the best of us, and we ought to strive (and be grateful for) the truth, no matter where, or how, it comes from. |
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Post 73 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
Swampy, to me, asking in this thread,directly after my post, where I got my numbers from, did or could have done that either unintentional or not. | ||
Post 74 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan If you believe that asking you were you got your numbers from is tantamount to questioning your honesty and integrity, you would be incorrect. |
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Post 75 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by DarthLego If there's misunderstanding? Yes. Absolutely. English is a funny language, after all. Perhaps instead of "I just noticed that older editions of the Overstreet Grading Guide are being sold on Amazon and ebay for crazy high prices"... ...which would reasonably lead someone to think that they are actually selling for those prices, you might say "I just noticed that older editions of the Overstreet Grading Guide are listed on Amazon and ebay for crazy high prices." |
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Post 76 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
Thanks@DocBrown, I accept that! | ||
Post 77 IP flag post |
Collector | DocBrown private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan Thank you for your compliments. But there would be a simple way to address your concern that a question about the supposed print run would lead people to think you might be a "liar, cheat, huckster, etc." and that would be to say, in a later post, "I was mistaken about the number. It turns out I was misinformed. My apologies to anyone who may have been misled by my statement." Easy peasy. I only asked a question. If people take a dim view of you based on a simple question...well, you have to ask yourself if you really want to do business with those people, who would rush to such an egregious judgment on so little evidence...right? |
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Post 78 IP flag post |
Collector | SilverAgeFan private msg quote post Address this user | |
To everyone out there whom has enjoyed the whimsical banter being displayed here. Neither one of us(without DC stepping in) can prove our point. If your interested in formulating an opinion, I'd suggest you start at your LCS, research the various websites concerning the estimated print run, talk to fellow collectors about the numbers they've heard and read about, check the different auction sites for recent actual sales prices and definitely judge for yourselves. | ||
Post 79 IP flag post |
Collector | MR_SigS private msg quote post Address this user | |
Quote:Originally Posted by SilverAgeFan I think the only reason it may appear this way is because several times he asked for links and other sources backing what you were saying, and they were not provided. To be fair, or to be the devil's advocate if you will, a new person reading this conversation may wonder why these sources aren't being provided, even if every one of Doc's requests were simply stated as, "Please provide links", and nothing else. Believe me, if you had just said something to the effect of not having those sources, he probably wouldn't have requested them repeatedly. Unless, of course, these sources continued to be referenced. |
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